Ukraine is on the verge of breaking through the last of Russia’s defensive line, effectively pushing the war back to Crimea by the end of the year, according to one US analyst. Is this the beginning of the end for Putin’s war machine?
US Intelligence Analyst Evaluates Ukrainian Advances
Recent developments on the Eastern European front suggest that Ukrainian forces may be on the cusp of a significant breakthrough in the remaining Russian defensive lines.
Top US Analyst’s Positive Look
A top US intelligence analyst has shared his insights, revealing what could be a groundbreaking year for Ukraine.
A Pivotal Analysis
Trent Maul, the Director of Analysis for Washington’s Defense Intelligence Agency, recently discussed the Ukrainian military’s advancements and their potential to break through Russia’s last defensive line.
A Realistic Possibility
Maul pointed out that Ukrainian troops have a “realistic possibility” of making headway through the third and final trench system.
Severing Russia’s Occupying Forces
Breaking through these lines would offer Ukrainian forces a direct route to the sea, enabling them to create a wedge between Russia’s occupying forces – a critical objective in their counter-offensive strategy.
Russia Loses Important Personel
The absence of key figures like Sergei Surovikin, Russia’s former commander of the invasion, who played a role in constructing the defensive lines, and the Wagner mercenaries from the battlefield is impacting the situation.
Maul’s Opinion Swings in Ukraine’s Favor
Maul reflected on the evolving situation, stating that a few weeks ago, he would have been more pessimistic about the prospects, “Had we had this conversation two weeks ago, I would have been slightly pessimistic,” he said.
Ukraine Breaches Second Defensive Line
The recent success in breaching the second defensive belt indicates significant progress, “Their breakthrough on that second defensive belt… is actually pretty considerable,” admitted Maul.
Advancements in Geolocation
Ukraine’s progress reached the second line of the so-called Surovikin line when its fighters were geolocated in a Russian trench network near the Zaporizhzhia village of Verbove.
What Is Geolocation?
Geolocation is currently being used by both sides of the war to navigate enemy lines using information received from the internet.
Verbove, situated on the edge of Kyiv’s counter-offensive, plays a pivotal role in Moscow’s defensive network, guarding a critical land bridge connecting the mainland to occupied Crimea.
Ukrainian Forces Consolidate Gains
According to Andriy Kovaliov, a spokesman for Ukraine’s general staff, Ukrainian forces are establishing control over recaptured territories.
Reports suggest that Ukraine likely holds parts of Russia’s defensive lines in the northwestern region of Verbove.
Countering Russian Moves
Recent geolocated footage on social media showed Russian forces targeting a new Ukrainian position in the treeline.
Russian sources indicated that Moscow’s occupational forces were launching counter-attacks in the recently liberated village of Robotyne, aiming to create an impression that the settlement is still under contention.
Kyiv’s Strategic Objectives
Kyiv’s goal is to break through the Russian defensive lines and subsequently advance toward the port city of Melitopol on the Azov coast.
Achieving this would effectively split Moscow’s forces in the south and east, disrupting the land bridge.
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